We are trapped in a false dilemma: choose Brussels or Washington, the EU or the United States, as if there were only two possible futures for Switzerland. This binary debate is a dead end. While public opinion is divided over ideological loyalties, the essential issue is being played out elsewhere: in the discreet legal mechanisms that are draining our normative sovereignty, and in the massive monetary dependence that is exposing our country to colossal risks. This text does not choose sides. It defends one principle: Switzerland's real independence, based on facts and figures.
Switzerland's public debate is caught up in a sterile binary opposition: pro-EU against pro-USA. Some dream of technocratic integration presented as rational; others give in to the illusion of American protection out of ideological affinity. This divide is comfortable - and completely beside the real issues. While the flags are being fought over, two structural threats are advancing, discreet but decisive.
1) The threat
legal and normative: breaking and entering
Behind the reassuring label of «Bilaterals III» hides a brutal reality: a Irreversible and abusive legal adhesion to European Union law.
Dynamic adoption of the law, mechanisms for settling disputes outside sovereignty, automatic sanctions: this package has not nothing bilateral. It is unilateral.
Some inconvenient facts:
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Switzerland ~CHF 25 billion annual trade deficit with the EU. Over ten years : ~CHF 250 billion. We are customers, not equal partners.
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According to savingsuisse, the expected impact on our exports would be ~0.3% per year (≈ CHF 500 million). In other words negligible in the face of the institutional relinquishments requested.
This is a normative annexation by technical means, without any vote of support, without any in-depth debate - and, above all without reversibility.
2) The threat
currency: dependence on the dollar
While attention is focused on Brussels, the most dangerous dependency is taking hold elsewhere: at the heart of the National Bank's balance sheet.
La Swiss National Bank holds approximately CHF 360 billion in US securities. In other words, a massive proportion of the country's wealth is exposed to the debt of the United States. United States - a structural debt deficit, financed by money creation.
Consequences:
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Systemic vulnerability to the dollar (sanctions, extraterritorial pressures, rate shocks).
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Cantillon effect Inflation acts like a hidden tax, destroying savings and favouring the primary beneficiaries of money creation.
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Strategic blackmail Recent history shows that Washington has no qualms about using finance as a tool - including through pressure on gold (refining, standards, audits, flows).
La fiat currency is not neutral. It is an instrument of power. And the current exhibition links Swiss stability to Washington's budgetary and geopolitical choices.
Breaking out of the binary trap
Pitting «Euro-fanatics» against «Trumpists» is a red herring. Swiss sovereignty is not a choice between two empires. It is built :
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by the refusal of irreversible legal integration ;
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by the drastic reduction in exposure to the dollar ;
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by the gold sanctuary and strategic infrastructures ;
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by the democratic control monetary guidelines.
As J. P. Morgan reminded us: «Gold is money. Everything else is credit.»
Conclusion
The real choice is not EU or USA.
The real choice is sovereignty or submission.
Switzerland does not have to choose a more polite or more brutal master. It must refusing dependence, regain legal control, clean up its monetary exposure - and become what it claims to be: independent through facts, not slogans.
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